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Feb-11-2010 15:24TweetFollow @OregonNews Public Opinion on Health CareErsun Warnke Salem-News.com Business/Economy ReporterOpen ended questions about whether or not people support “universal healthcare” have consistently polled in the 60-70% in favor range for at least a decade.
(EUGENE, Ore.) - I have read a number of comments in regards to articles on health care making fictitious claims about public opinions on health care. Comments such as: “The vast super majority of us here are satisfied with our medical care.” In order to shed some light on these claims, I have compiled a review of some polling data on health care issues. Polls themselves are not a basis for making policy. A random sample of the opinions of a couple hundred people on a facile question is not how decisions are made in a democracy. That said, it is worth looking at some actual polls of public opinions concerning health care in the United States, simply to gauge how this issue is viewed by the public at large. CBS News Poll: “Which of the following three statements comes closest to expressing your overall view of the health care system in the United States? (1) On the whole, the health care system works pretty well and only minor changes are necessary to make it work better. OR, (2) There are some good things in our health care system, but fundamental changes are needed. OR, (3) Our health care system has so much wrong with it that we need to completely rebuild it.” In the latest polling on this question, from October 5-8, 2009, 15% said the health care system works pretty well, and only needs minor changes. 53% responded that fundamental changes were needed. 31% responded that it needed to be completely rebuilt. This same question has been asked in polls since 2006. Over that time, the percentage who thinks that the health care system works pretty well has ranged from 8% to 19%. Those thinking that fundamental changes are needed have ranged from 49% to 56%. Those calling for a complete rebuild have ranged from 27% to 38%. [Note: a poll like this likely has a “moderation bias” where people are more likely to choose the middle-of-the-road option, even if it does not reflect their true opinion.] "Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government-administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?" This question was asked on a bi-weekly basis from June till October of last year, with respondents in favor ranging from 60% to 72% and opposition ranging from 20% to 34%. Gallop Poll – November 11-14 2007 "What would you say is the most urgent health problem facing this country at the present time?" (Open Ended – Respondents not given options, only state their response) Access - 30% This is a brilliant question in a way, because the responses show a majority of people whose greatest health care concern is not disease, but the health care system itself. It should also be noted that the diseases people are most worried about are to a great extent “lifestyle” diseases that result from low quality food and other poisonous products and waste. Pew Research Center poll "Do you favor or oppose changing the health care system in this country so that all Americans have health insurance that covers all medically necessary care?" This question was asked in June of 2009, and 75% of respondents were in favor of creating a system that guarantees access to medically necessary care for all Americans. The same question was asked in June of 1994, and 76% of respondents replied in favor. It should be understood that with polling, it is possible to get respondents to say just about anything, even in a random sample. Responses are very much a function of the questions asked, and because they are immediate, they generally reflect an emotional response to the words or phrases used in the question. If a firm wants to rig a poll, then they simply run a multitude of different question constructions until they get the results they want, and then make a press release and spin the result to whatever argument they are trying to validate. Open ended questions about whether or not people support “universal healthcare” have consistently polled in the 60-70% in favor range for at least a decade (this is what I have seen, if you dig up the research, you will probably find this going back even further). Once you put politicians, political parties, and the Federal Government into the question, numbers plummet. This is no mystery. The Federal Government is corrupt. People have little confidence in congress, and for good reason. However, to make the leap that the Federal Government should not enact the policies that the majority of the public wants because the majority of the public also lacks confidence in them is insane. The majority of the public lacks confidence in the Federal Government precisely because it stubbornly refuses to enact the policies they actually need and want. =================================== Salem-News.com Business/Economy Reporter Ersun Warncke is a native Oregonian. He has a degree in Economics from Portland State University and studied Law at University of Oregon. At a young age, his career spans a wide variety of fields, from fast food, to union labor, to computer programming. He has published works concerning economics, business, government, and media on blogs for several years. He currently works as an independent software designer specializing in web based applications, open source software, and peer-to-peer (P2P) applications. Ersun describes his writing as being "in the language of the boardroom from the perspective of the shop floor." He adds that "he has no education in journalism other than reading Hunter S. Thompson." But along with life comes the real experience that indeed creates quality writers. Right now, every detail that can help the general public get ahead in life financially, is of paramount importance. You can write to Ersun at: warncke@comcast.net Articles for February 10, 2010 | Articles for February 11, 2010 | Articles for February 12, 2010 | ||
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Natalie February 12, 2010 11:47 pm (Pacific time)
Once in a while I can admit to 100% agreement with Hank Ruark.
Hank Ruark February 12, 2010 5:34 pm (Pacific time)
To all: Constant reference to any day-to-day polls demands here again repetition of great care in riding with any of them. ANY poll-maker, or even most poll-takes (huge difference !) will tell you that at most the results depend heavily on how and who and when the questions are asked, and that even in the best-done ones the results are good for about a day or two. By that time both the poll- respondents and the forces driving any response will be re-shaped by events over the past 24 hours. Experts will immediately demand to know poll-size, how selected, by whom, by what method(s), and under what well -stated description of reason for poll, who-doing/it, and how it will be used. Unless and even if you have great experience in doing the whole process, best bet is to take any/all results with more than a grain of common sense. Speaking here from painful experience in doing ten-year surveys in three major areas of education, partially based on poll-process to select the major recipients (500 across nation) by fully acceptable process... Even there we were far from dead sure on what we "learned" and what was "only very well- guided guesswork." You puts in your time, build as best you can, and you still have only small group at best, often poorly selected,and with questions and responses still open to qualms from how one does interpretation. Clear example is doubt still thrown on healthcare stance of majorities in spite of major polls "taken by experts". Basic fact is that most by far have made solid point of need to fix broken system --with great uncertainties as to how-to-do, shadowed deep into further uncertainty when government is in any way even partially involved. That is well understood by both pollsters and social scientists to be consequence of more than 50 years of well- funded propaganda from Far Right sources, starting with fact of 6/10 families failing plot to assassinate FDR and relying on strong efforts to found, fund and continue full support for brain-pot/work foundation efforts ever since.
DS February 12, 2010 3:11 pm (Pacific time)
Life expectancy and infant mortality are wholly inadequate comparative measures for health care systems. Life expectancy is influenced by a host of factors other than a health care system, while infant mortality is measured inconsistently across nations. Neither of these measures provides the United States with conclusive guidance on health care policy, let alone serve as reliable evidence that a system of universal health care should be implemented in the United States. Subsequently it behooves the media to see that our citizens receive as much information as possible to help keep properly informed on this dynamic issue. What may seem to work in some countries isn't always as it may seem. http://www.nationalcenter.org/NPA547ComparativeHealth.html
Jim L. February 12, 2010 9:01 am (Pacific time)
As per a recent national poll: "President Obama this week called for a televised bipartisan summit to get his health care reform plan back on track, but 61% of U.S. voters say Congress should scrap that plan and start all over again. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds just 28% who think it is better to build on the health care plan that has been working its way through the House and Senate." The below link provides a rich source of statistically based insight on the mood of "likely voters" on healthcare (and other issues) by a pollster with the highest accuracy in this field. Also please note the statistical trend on this issue going back to last June. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/september_2009/health_care_reform Another recent poll by "CBS News/New York Times Poll finds most Americans are now dissatisfied or even angry with government – and much of that frustration is directed at Congress, which now receives just a 15% approval rating. Levels of distrust and cynicism about government are at or near 15-year highs." Congress has not had such low numbers since 1994, and this may slow down future work on a national heathcare policy, maybe congress will start concentrating on creating jobs and improving the economy to pay for a national health plan? Even if the senate bill passes, it would be nearly three to four years before the first nationally insured patient would have medical services available. Must be better ways to speed up the process for those in need? Tort reform, insurance sales across state lines, subsidizing insurance for those who cannot afford it, waive pre-existing conditions, etc. We could do this real fast compared to what is "not" going on now.
Dexter February 11, 2010 8:46 pm (Pacific time)
Good idea GP
ken ramey February 11, 2010 8:06 pm (Pacific time)
Recommend you e-mail A COPY TO THE DNC and to the white house. Republicans tend to say OVER AND OVER again "the majority of Americans" are against Health care reform, in their mean attempt to defeat what the people want.
gp February 11, 2010 6:37 pm (Pacific time)
How about Salem-News.com running a poll on this issue among readers?
Amanda Leduc February 11, 2010 6:36 pm (Pacific time)
Great job! This desperately needed to be said!
Dexter February 11, 2010 4:17 pm (Pacific time)
Well written Ersun. To the point and simplified... for all those stubborn people out there brought up in the fear that anything un-American is a bad evil thing. Like the free medical care ,which to a lot of Americans think is a socialist thing?!.. coming from a country with democratic issues, and being more governed like a communist state, I find that very odd to to hear.
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